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FEDERATION OF INDIAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY
Economic Outlook Survey
i) Name & Designation
ii) Company Name
iii) Email
iv) Mobile

Part A

  Macroeconomic Indicators Oct-Dec
(Q3 2018-19)
Jan-March
(Q4 2018-19)
2018-19 2019-20
1. GDP growth rate at market prices (%)
(base year 2011-12 and new methodology)
2. GVA at basic prices at constant prices
(base year 2011-12 and new methodology)
  Agriculture & Allied
  Industry
  Services
3. Gross Domestic Saving (% of GDP)
(base year 2011-12 and new methodology)
4. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (% of GDP at current market prices)
(base year 2011-12 and new methodology)
5. Fiscal Deficit (as % to GDP)
Central Government
6. Growth in IIP (%)
7. WPI All Commodities Inflation rate (%)
(Quarterly Average & Annual Average)
8. CPI Combined New Inflation rate (%)
(base year 2012)
(Quarterly Average & Annual Average)
9.

Prime Lending Rate (%)

10. Money supply growth (M3) (%)
(end period)
11. Bank credit growth (%)
12. Repo Rate
(end period)
13. Merchandise Export
  Value in USD billion
  Growth (%)
14. Merchandise Import
  Value in USD billion
  Growth (%)
15.

Trade Balance (% to GDP at current price)

16. Current Account Balance
  Value in USD billion
  as % of GDP at current price
17. US$ / INR exchange rate
(end period)


Part B
1(a). Reserve Bank of India in its last monetary policy announced on December 5, 2018 maintained the stance of calibrated tightening and kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent. Also, even though the inflation projections were scaled down, the central bank cited upside risks to prices. With the latest inflation data print indicating a further moderation in prices in the month of November, what according to you will be RBI’s stance in the February 2019 monetary policy review? Please do indicate the factors / reasons behind your views.
 
(b). Do you have any other expectations, on the regulatory side, from the forthcoming monetary policy?
 
2. According to you what will be the top 3 trends to look out for in the year 2019 with respect to the global economy. Please also indicate what could be the 3 key downside risks and upsides in 2019 for Indian economy?
 
3. Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) have made an important contribution in the growth journey of India’s industrial sector post-independence. However, after liberalization their role started to diminish. Do you think India should revisit the concept of DFIs? If yes, what factors will have to be considered to make these institutes successful once again.
 
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